Key Research Findings:

Project Goals Determine Risks

  • An unfinished project has uncertain outcomes and three types of value:

    • Desired value: the value stakeholders ideally desire from a project

    • Goal value: the value of a project that meets its designated goals/targets/objectives/requirements

    • Likely value: a project’s forecasted value, given its resources and capabilities


  • Market risk stems from a project designating the wrong goals.

  • Project risk stems from potentially not meeting designated goals.


  • Easy goals decrease project risk but increase market risk.

  • Challenging goals decrease market risk but increase project risk.


Key Publications: P9, P31, P39